Friday, September 18, 2015

Indonesia Needs Room to Manoeuvre

The Australian Government has asked Indonesia to spare the lives of convicted drug smugglers Andrew Chan and Myuran Sukumaran. The two Australians are currently on death row, convicted of smuggling heroin at the resort island of Bali. On what grounds should the lives of these criminals be spared?

Well, apart from arguments in mitigation citing good conduct and apparent repentance whilst in prison, the appeals for clemency appear to turn on four points: 1) Australia believes that state-sanctioned execution is barbaric and should not be done; 2) the individuals concerned are Australian citizens, 3) the Australian people will generally be upset if the two men are killed and this could pressure the Australian government to cool relations with Indonesia, and 4) other governments will dismiss as hypocrisy any future call for Indonesians to be spared the death penalty in foreign countries.

Are any of these arguments likely to prevail? No, they are not.

Indeed, any slim chance of leniency was diminished considerably by the comments of Australian Prime Minister, Tony Abbott, in reminding Indonesia of the one billion dollars given by Australia as tsunami aid. If the Australian Government wanted to limit the options of President Joko Widodo, known as Jokowi, essentially tying his hands on this issue, their loud and insistent ‘diplomacy’ could not have done a better job.

Standing rock solid against Australia’s opposition to capital punishment is Indonesia’s determined, “anti-colonial” resistance to “interference” in their judicial processes and their unwavering assertion of sovereign independence. Last month, Indonesia executed six convicted drug traffickers — five of them foreigners from Brazil, Malawi, the Netherlands, Nigeria and Vietnam — by firing squad. President Jokowi has said that he intends to show no mercy in his war on drugs, which he claims are killing up to 50 Indonesians a day.

Two weeks ago, the Guardian newspaper reported that Indonesia’s foreign minister, Retno Marsudi, stressed that application of the death penalty is in accordance with due process, “The death penalty is part of the law of Indonesia,” she said. “It is implemented as a last resort for the most serious of crimes. The decision is taken by our judicial system, which is independent and impartial.” Marsudi also said that Indonesia’s fight against drugs had entered a “critical stage” and that drugs had “ruined the lives of many hardworking Indonesians”.

However, Rafendi Djamin, who represents Indonesia on the ASEAN Intergovernmental Commission on Human Rights, argues that official corruption is part of Indonesia's drug problem. That corruption, he adds, also raises the possibility of fatal miscarriages of justice when the death penalty is applied, "There are very serious flaws in our judiciary. We are still working on it. And with this flawed judiciary, you believe you are not, you know, killing the wrong people? This is the tragedy of our society now."

Presumably, Indonesian President Jokowi, Foreign Minister Retno Marsudi, and the Attorney General, Muhammad Prasetyo, all know this, and yet Indonesia’s Attorney General declared on Friday that “nothing whatsoever” could stop the execution of Andrew Chan and Myuran Sukumaran from going ahead, promising they would face the firing squad as soon as possible. Why?

Perhaps to answer this question we need to examine the political situation in Indonesia. President Jokowi enjoys popular support but is possibly the politically weakest post-Suharto president. He is not in control of his own party, and his ruling coalition does not control a majority in parliament. At present, President Jokowi's Indonesian Democratic Party of Struggle, or PDI-P, along with its four smaller allies, have about 44% of the seats. In October 2014, his opposition in the Presidential elections, Lieutenant General (Rtd) Prabowo's coalition used a change to the law and its parliamentary majority to install its own man as speaker. It then took control of all of parliament's influential committees.

In such circumstances, any weakness shown by Jokowi or suggestion that he kowtowed to Canberra over the fate of the drug smugglers would be detrimental to his political standing.

The death penalty for drug smuggling is reportedly popular in Indonesia. Also, Indonesian public sentiment has shown very little tolerance to external ‘interference’. Put simply, President Jokowi cannot afford to meet the Australian request on this issue. He would lose too much face and so would Indonesia.

Presumably, the Australian Government, teeming with SE Asian ‘experts’ would know this. Why then pursue such an approach? The louder Australia appeals and more insistent it becomes, the less the Indonesian President is able to agree. We might conclude that the Australian rhetoric is directed primarily at a domestic Australian audience.

However, Jakarta has sent a typically Javanese message to Canberra that it would prefer not to let this issue lead to a serious rift. A spokesman for Indonesia’s Attorney General said that transfer of the Australian prisoners to Nusa Kambangan for execution had been delayed because the prison is not yet ready. The seemingly inevitable has been postponed probably until next month.

If the Australian Government genuinely cares for the fate of its two imprisoned citizens, perhaps a new and completely different strategy is needed. An Asian approach would be for the Prime Minister to declare publicly that Australia “respects Indonesian sovereignty” and “the independence of the Indonesian judiciary”. Whilst Australia and Indonesia disagree on the use of capital punishment, Australia would “never seek to interfere in the internal affairs of its close and dearly valued neighbour and friend”.

He might then proceed to request that consideration be given to examining the premise behind the death penalties to test whether indeed there is any evidence anywhere in the world that the death penalty actually reduces the incidence of drug-related crime. Australia would be honoured to provide financial support for such a study, which could be undertaken by Indonesian experts with the assistance of the ASEAN Secretariat or Asian Development Bank. Indonesia and many other countries would benefit greatly from such a study.

In private, the Australian Prime Minister could also explain that as an act of friendship and with no conditions attached, Australia would be humbled and deeply grateful were the execution of its citizens and others on death row for drug crimes to be postponed until completion of the study.

This would possibly, just possibly open the door for Indonesia to make up its own mind on this question without any hecklers in the gallery trying to force their hand. Sadly, too many words may already have been spoken in public for such an option. But at least this approach might give the Indonesian President room to manoeuvre without loss of face for himself or his country.

Published in The Malaysian Insider, 23 February 2015